Winter Sunday? Maybe not so much.

marylago said:

Max, you are the best!  "> To provide us this info is so generous. Never, ever leave us.

Yes. Exactly.

yes! Thank you Max!

alrighty. It was a "go- no go" thing based on when snow would start on Sunday. We went with your forecast, max so fingers crossed!

Overnight models, while still (as the NWS put it this morning) "wavering" continue an overall trend away from significant snowfall.  Current is forecast of 2-4" total Sunday to Monday morning, if the trend holds, expect less.

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
458 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-200900-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
458 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

IT IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY THAT A COASTAL LOW SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACROSS THE REGION.
HOWEVER...THERE STILL REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE LOW. AT THIS TIME...THE HIGHEST
AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE LIKELY TO FALL ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND
SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

The map is showing only 1" in our area:

max - You're a mensch.

Winter is bumming.

Thanks for your amazing work!

Thank you Max! We are lucky to have you here in Maplewood/SO!

thanks, max! I'm flying out for a wedding tomorrow- feel way calmer about the prospect after reading this thread. 

Just one last note on the storm.  While we are not getting significant accumulation, areas south, east, and especially northeast will. Boston could get 8-10".  Long Island could get several inches. Make travel plans accordingly. Send the college kids back to school a little early if they are heading to New England (the storm will not get too intense in Boston until tonight but Conneticut will be earlier).

cramer said:

max - You're a mensch.

What he said.

Ugh, have to drive to Providence tomorrow. Will it be ugly? (Sorry, promised myself I wouldn't ask, but your comment about New England...)

Should be over by mid morning.

Thanks Max! 

max_weisenfeld said:

Should be over by mid morning.

It's a sunny beautiful day. 

yep and quite a bit warmer than expected also

I saw a few TINY snowflakes on my way home from the gym.  Hope that's the extent of this "weather event."

can't decide if I'm disappointed or not...

I can- I am thrilled. Seeing snow again would have made me ill